Here is a list of the Superbowl champions for the past
fifteen years.
Grand. Now let's look at is an equivalent list of the most recent champions of
England’s Premier League, the top tier of English soccer.
The Superbowl has had ten different winners in the past
fifteen years, and twelve in the past twenty.
The Premier League, meanwhile, has had just four different winners in the past
fifteen years, and only five in the past twenty.
WAIT, I hear you cry, is that statistically significant?
Well, let’s look at similar tables for Spanish soccer…
4 winners in the past 15 years |
…Italian soccer…
6 in the past 20 years |
…and worst of all, Scottish soccer.
For fuck's sake. |
Every top-tier soccer league looks more or less the same. The best two or three teams dominate year after year, with occasional outliers popping
up to steal some glory from the big boys.
The Superbowl, on the other hand,
tells a different story. Teams go through waves of success, sure, but that
makes sense. If you win the Superbowl one year, you should still have a pretty
good team the next year or two, and a reasonable shot at winning it again. But
no team dominates year after year after year in the style of Manchester United
or Barcelona.
¿Como se dice "bored"? |
Let’s take the San Francisco 49ers as an example. Between
1989 and 1995, they won three Superbowls. Three in a seven-year span. Enough to
be thought of as a “dynasty”, to use American parlance. This weekend they go
back to the Superbowl for the first time since that 1995 triumph. In that
seventeen-year wait, they’ve run the full gamut from decent to mediocre to
atrocious and back again. As recently two years ago, they had a record of 6 wins and
10 losses.
Hey, remember when we were terrible? Oh yeah...two years ago. |
For Brits, it would be like Blackburn suddenly challenging for the
title again (an appropriate comparison, seeing as they won the league in 1995 and
were mediocre in 2010), but that’s about as likely as a complete disintegration
of the laws of physics (note: Blackburn aren’t even in the top league any more,
but more on the concept of “relegation” later).
That's Latin for "Usually Shit" |
The NFL is a unique league. Any given year, pretty much any
team can, in theory, challenge for the Superbowl. If you finish the year with a
terrible record, you get first pick of the best new players in the annual
“draft”, and a chance to rebuild your team into a Superbowl contender. In soccer, the best players go to the best teams. Almost
always. One of the most stark examples of recent times is Everton getting maybe
one and a half years of the teenage Wayne Rooney they’d trained since he was a
child before he left to win countless trophies with Manchester United. If
you’re a smaller club with a world-class player, don’t plan on holding on to
him for long.
"Once a blue, always a blue." Ummm.... |
The TV money in the NFL is also split evenly 32 ways, as
opposed to European soccer. In fact, just to show how stark the difference is, here’s Guardian correspondent Sid Lowe on the Spanish league:
“It is well-documented that TV
deals are signed individually in Spain. Real and Barcelona make three times
more than Valencia and Atlético, the next highest earners. That is not the only
source of their income, but it is the most significant. €120m against €42m a
season may not sound like much but season after season after season, the impact
is gigantic.” And indeed it is. Not only do Barcelona dominate every season;
they’re close to dominating every single game. “There is a difference between
the same two (or three, or four) teams winning the league and the same two
teams winning virtually every game. It is not normal for four- or five-goal
victories to be more common than one- or two-goal victories, but that is what
is happening. Last season, Valencia finished third. They were 39 points behind
the champions.” 39 points. Thirteen wins out of a 38-game season. That is a
colossal chasm. In another article, he warns about Spain becoming the "new Scotland". Yikes.
This article has a fantastic breakdown of how TV revenue is distributed in the major European leagues. Nowhere matches the NFL for parity.
The upshot is that, in the most capitalist country in the world, somehow the
richest, most popular, most commercialised, and most televised sport…is
essentially socialist. It is pure bottom-up economics.
Over in supposedly socialist Europe, meanwhile, its most popular
sport has become the quintessence of free-market economics, the perfect example
of unregulated capitalism, complete with the illusion of competition amidst the
ever-growing gulf between not just the rich and the poor, but between the super-rich
and the very-rich, like Bill Gates looking at the Hamptons and laughing
derisively at their tenement houses.
"I'm Mitt Romney, and I approve this soccerball thing." |
Anyway, it's obvious how this has happened. Success draws in fans, which means more ticket sales and TV
revenue, which means more money to afford the best players, which means more
commercial and sponsorship revenue, which means more success, which means…and
so on. There is nothing to curb this, no laws that can't be bypassed via loopholes (again, you'll notice how it's a perfect metaphor for the economy in general).
Fans, meanwhile, cling to the naïve hope of player
loyalty, fantasising that their star player might value his hometown club over
the wealth, success, and glory that Manchester United or Real Madrid might
offer him. Yeah, like the Rooneys of the world. You can probably count such
players on one hand.
The only hope any “lesser” team ever has is a wealthy
benefactor coming in who can pull out the trump card. “Sure, you might want to
join Manchester United, but join my team and I’ll pay you three times as much.”
Manchester City and Chelsea are two such teams, and the only ones who have come
close to competing in recent years. City pay some of their players £300,000 a week. A WEEK. Last year, unable to
offload the problematic striker Emmanueal Adebayor, they paid him over £200,000
per week to play for another team.
At the same time, historic clubs like Portsmouth FC go bankrupt. And in the spirit of
unregulated, free-market capitalism, not only is this allowed to happen, but
they are actually punished for doing so. Anyone who’s been fined for being in
their bank overdraft knows what that feels like:
Portsmouth likewise have repeatedly been docked points for,
essentially, not having enough money, which relegates them further down the leagues, which means they have less money, which means they get docked points...and so on. This year they are on the brink of
relegation to the fourth division of English football, the equivalent of the
Boston Red Sox facing the prospect of playing Single-A baseball next year.
Now, relegation is one of the things I love about soccer. It
adds a whole other level of tension to the season. Imagine if the Oakland Raiders or the Dallas Cowboys went into the final game of the season needing to win to avoid being sent down
to play with amateur teams. It would be glorious mayhem. Unfortunately, it
also accentuates the gap between rich and poor. When a soccer team fails, it
fails catastrophically because it loses the TV money it gains from being in the
top league. There is no safety net like in the NFL, no pick of the best players
in next season’s draft, only the bleak reality of lower-league soccer and the haemmorraghing
of players, drop in ticket sales, and financial ruin that often comes with it.
Obvious Metaphors R Us |
Money is the only thing that talks in modern-day soccer. How
much the latest shirt/stadium sponsor is bringing in, what percentage of the TV
revenue my team is getting, how much cash the board is making available to buy
new players, if can we afford to up our star player’s contract to stop him
joining a larger club, if can we finance the debt on our stadium expansion……and
on and on and on. The league is bought every year by whichever club has been
able to afford to purchase it. Fans of clubs lower down the financial tree (or
“league”, as it was once called) are faced with the fact that, realistically,
they will never, ever see their team crowned champions.
It strips sport of its very essence. The thrill of
competition. The hope that this year might just be your year. And unless you’re
a Chicago Cubs fan, it’s a feeling that American sports fans get every year.
"There's always next season." - every Cubs fan since 1909 |
So even though it pains me to say it, that’s why handegg is
better than football.
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